
A vital aspect of intelligent sports Investing is investigating the technical situations of each game, searching for meaningful historical trends. How teams have performed under certain conditions in the past, such as when home/away, a favorite/underdog, in a division/non-division game, etc., can portend future outcomes.
In addition to established, simple single-team and single-factor angles, PRO INFO SPORTS discovers and employs unique and complex league-wide systems for use in our Handicapping arsenal. The most POWERful of these SYSTEMS that are 100% ATS over a significant number of games and/or seasons, become our exclusive POWER SYSTEMS and are unmatched in the sports gaming industry.*
Every computer-researched PRO INFO SPORTS POWER SYSTEM is documented with a brief explanation, reference number, Star rating, parameters, SU & ATS records, average SU & ATS margins, and historical chart of all qualifying games. Complete FREE NFL and NCAA Football examples follow.
The system page below is from the REVENGE Section of The 2006 NFL POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA. The brief explanation introduces the situation by stating:
Teams playing in highlighted non-Sunday games, such as primetime contests, have been perfectly awful seeking revenge for a loss in which they actually covered the spread by 6 points or less.
The reference number PS18-21 indicates that this is POWER SYSTEM #21 from Section 18, and the Star Rating (5«) shows the system's grade on a scale of 1-7 Stars. The parameters reveal the precise circumstances in which the system will be active:
Play AGAINST a non-Sunday team seeking revenge for a SU loss and ATS win of 6 points or less in the first match-up.
Here, the Play AGAINST team is in a non-Sunday game, most of which are prime-time, nationally televised contests such as Monday Night Football. They are playing with revenge for an earlier game that season in which they lost SU, but managed to cover the spread by 6 points or less. The previous close call has put their opponent on notice, giving the rivals all the more reason to focus on the game that is already highlighted because of its special, non-Sunday status.
The SU & ATS records and average SU & ATS margins summarize the Straight Up and Against The Spread success of the system. In this case, playing against the teams as described, produced a SU and ATS record of 17-0. The teams lost outright by an average of 15.8 points per game and failed to cover the spread by 12.5 points per game on average.
Finally, the chart lists the historical information for the 17 qualifying games with categories for YEAR, WEEK, DAY, TEAM, OPPONENT, SITE, LINE, SCORE, SU RESULT & MARGIN, and ATS RESULT & MARGIN (in BOLD) in order. From this data, many important details can be learned. The system goes back to 1985, when Seattle hosted Denver in a Week 16 Friday contest. The system's biggest win came in 1992 when Chicago was at home on Monday Night Football against Minnesota. The Bears were favored by 3½ points but lost by 4 TDs and failed to cover the spread by 31½ points! The system had no games between 1998-2002, but has been quite active since with 2 qualifying contests in 2003, 1 in 2004, and 2 more in 2005 (in italics). Most recently, Houston hosted a Saturday game with Jacksonville in Week 16 of last season. The Texans got 6½ points from the oddsmakers, but it wasn't enough as they were defeated by a score of 38-20, suffering a SU loss of 18 points and falling 11½ points shy of covering the spread.
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2006 NFL e-CYCLOPEDIA
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Teams playing in highlighted non-Sunday games, such as primetime contests, have been perfectly awful seeking revenge for a loss in which they actually covered the spread by 6 points or less.
PS18-21 (5«) – Play AGAINST a non-Sunday team seeking revenge for a SU loss and ATS win of 6 points or less in the first match-up.
SU: 17-0 (15.8) ATS: 17-0 (12.5)
|
YEAR |
WK |
DAY |
TEAM |
OPP |
ST |
LINE |
SCORE |
SU |
MRG |
ATS |
MRG |
|
1985 |
16 |
FRI |
SEA |
DEN |
H |
0 |
24-37 |
L |
-3 |
L |
-3 |
|
1988 |
11 |
MON |
MIA |
BUF |
H |
0 |
6-31 |
L |
-25 |
L |
-25 |
|
1991 |
12 |
MON |
MIA |
BUF |
H |
+4 |
27-41 |
L |
-14 |
L |
-10 |
|
1991 |
16 |
SAT |
TB |
CHI |
A |
+13' |
0-27 |
L |
-27 |
L |
-13' |
|
1992 |
9 |
MON |
CHI |
MIN |
H |
-3’ |
10-38 |
L |
-28 |
L |
-31' |
|
1993 |
8 |
MON |
CHI |
MIN |
H |
-3 |
12-19 |
L |
-7 |
L |
-10 |
|
1994 |
13 |
MON |
NO |
SF |
H |
+9' |
14-35 |
L |
-21 |
L |
-11' |
|
1995 |
17 |
MON |
ARZ |
DAL |
H |
+9 |
13-37 |
L |
-24 |
L |
-15 |
|
1995 |
17 |
SAT |
TB |
DET |
H |
+7' |
10-37 |
L |
-27 |
L |
-19' |
|
1997 |
8 |
MON |
IND |
BUF |
H |
-1 |
6-9 |
L |
-3 |
L |
-4 |
|
1997 |
14 |
MON |
MIN |
GB |
H |
+3 |
11-27 |
L |
-16 |
L |
-13 |
|
1997 |
17 |
MON |
MIA |
NE |
H |
-3 |
12-14 |
L |
-2 |
L |
-5 |
|
2003 |
17 |
SAT |
SF |
SEA |
H |
-2 |
17-24 |
L |
-7 |
L |
-9 |
|
2003 |
17 |
SAT |
WAS |
PHI |
H |
+7' |
7-31 |
L |
-24 |
L |
-16' |
|
2004 |
16 |
FRI |
MIN |
GB |
H |
-3 |
31-34 |
L |
-3 |
L |
-6 |
|
2005 |
14 |
MON |
NO |
ATL |
A |
+10’ |
17-36 |
L |
-19 |
L |
-8' |
|
2005 |
16 |
SAT |
HOU |
JAC |
H |
+6' |
20-38 |
L |
-18 |
L |
-11' |
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Section 18 - REVENGE |
The next page is from the LATE SEASON Section of The 2006 NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA. The brief explanation introduces the system:
Home favorites struggling through a long season with just a single victory have come up big against opponents also with just one win.
The reference number PS3-19 indicates that it's POWER SYSTEM #19 from Section 3, and the Star Rating (5«) shows the system's grade. The parameters reveal the exact circumstances to look for:
From Game 8 on, play ON a home favorite of more than 3 points with 1 season SU win off a conference road game vs. an opponent with 1 season SU win.
Here, we have a late-season game involving 2 teams with just a single win apiece. The hosts have held a big edge in this scenario when favored by more than a field goal and coming off a conference road game. At this point, the oddsmakers are reluctant to make a 1-win team a heavy favorite, actually creating tremendous line value. Being at home and facing a very beatable opponent has provided these teams with plenty of motivation. It may well be their last realistic chance to get that desperately desired 2nd victory.
The SU & ATS records and average SU & ATS margins summarize the Straight Up and Against The Spread results, showing that the teams described went 18-0 SU and& 17-0-1 ATS. They won by an average of 22.6 points per game and beat the spread by 11.4 points per game on average.
Finally, the chart lists the historical information for the games with categories for YEAR, GAME, DAY, TEAM, OPPONENT, SITE, LINE, SCORE, SU RESULT & MARGIN, and ATS RESULT & MARGIN (in BOLD) in order. From this data, many important details can be gleaned. The system goes all the way back to at least 1981, when California hosted Oregon State in the Golden Bears' 8th game of the season. That was also the system's biggest win, as Cal buried the Beavers, 45-3, and covered spread by 29 points! The system may actually be stronger than shown, as the situation has NO spread losses back through the 1980 season, which is far as our computer database goes. The lone system "push" occurred in 1996 when Hawaii was at home on the islands against UNLV. The Warriors were favored by 10 points and won 38-28. There was 1 qualifying contest in 2005 (in italics), as San Jose State hosted New Mexico State. The Spartans were favored by 8½ points and had little trouble disposing of the Aggies, winning 27-10 and beating the spread by 8½ points.
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2006 NCAA Football e-CYCLOPEDIA
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Home favorites struggling through a long season with just a single victory have come up big against opponents without a superior record.
PS3-19 (5«) – From Game 8 on, play ON a home favorite of more than 3 points with 1 season SU win off a conference road game vs. an opponent with less than 2 season SU wins.
SU: 18-0 (22.6) ATS: 17-0-1 (11.4)
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