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GAMEDAY INVESTMENT e-LERT

NCAA Football GAMEDAY INVESTMENT e-LERT

 

Thursday, September 14, 2006 

 

4:30 PM PT/7:30 PM ET

 

1« SELECTION (2% of Bankroll)

 

WEST VIRGINIA -16 over Maryland

 

The Terrapins hope to come out of their shell on Thursday night when they visit the #5 Mountaineers. Maryland is 2-0 on the season, but has been anything but impressive in beating William & Mary and Middle Tennessee, while West Virginia has been impressive in their 2 wins over vastly inferior competition.

 

Maryland doesn’t exactly enter the game with a head of steam, as they were actually shut out over the final 24 minutes of last weekend's game against the Blue Raiders. Sam Hollenbach is back as the Terp QB, but he’s lost most of his skilled friends. Maryland’s defense surrendered 21 first downs and 321 total yards last week, but won the turnover battle to secure the victory.

 

The Mountaineers entered the season with a lot of hype to live up to, but so far they’ve been up to the task. They are averaging 47 ppg and well over 500 total ypg. The ground attack is where it starts and is currently ranked 1st nationally among schools that have played at least 2 games. Steve Slaton is an explosive tailback has racked up 308 rushing yards and four touchdowns, while averaging a staggering 7.5 ypc thus far. QB Pat White runs the offensive show from the QB position and gives West Virginia a nearly unstoppable 1-2 punch in the backfield.

 

Maryland has been sliding into mediocrity the past few seasons and it’s likely to continue in 2006. They simply have not been a well-coached football team recently and there’s no reason so suspect that it will turn around here. The only chance the Terrapins have of keeping this game close is if the Mountaineers allow them, which is highly unlikely. This is a rivalry game, although probably more so for West Virginia than Maryland, which has plenty of ACC rivalry games.

 

It will be an especially big game for RB Slaton who actually wanted to play for Ralph Friedgen. Maryland wanted him, too, but eventually withdrew a scholarship offer. "It shows recruiting is nothing but a business," Slaton said. "I think it gives me a little more motivation."

 

While Slaton is looking for his first career carry against Maryland, last year's 31-19 win over the Terps was a springboard for several West Virginia teammates. It was the first start at center for converted guard Dan Mozes, who tossed two snaps over the head of quarterback Adam Bednarik early in the game. "I was kind of lost," Mozes said. Rodriguez stuck with Mozes, who anchored a line that helped the Mountaineers become the nation's fourth-best rushing attack. Part of that was fullback Owen Schmitt, a walk-on transfer who led the Mountaineers with 80 yards on six carries in last year's game against the Terps. "I think that game showed that if we worked hard enough and tried hard enough that we could turn this year into something special," Schmitt said.

 

Then there was Pat White, who led three fourth-quarter touchdown drives after replacing the injured Bednarik. White remained Bednarik's backup for four more games, started the final five and set several school and Big East records for rushing by a quarterback. Maryland, which allowed 301 rushing yards to the Mountaineers, can only prepare for more of the same.

 

The Terps have not had a road win over a Top 5 opponent since 1950 and they have shown little confidence that they can do it here. Maryland is 0-11 ATS as an underdog of 15-27 points vs. opponents off 2 or more SU wins, and as a non-Saturday underdog they are 0-4 SU & ATS when not playing rival Georgia Tech since 1980. The games have not been close, as they have lost outright by an average of more than 38 points, while failing to cover the spread by more than 3 TDs per game on average! Meanwhile, West Virginia was a perfect 5-0 SU & ATS in non-Saturday games last year, beating the spread by more than 3 TDs per game on average.

 

In looking at some more numbers, we find the Mountaineers qualify as a “Play ON” team for several PRO INFO SPORTS NCAA Football POWER SYSTEMS, including one from Section 15 of the 2006 NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA, which deals exclusively with highlighted, non-Saturday games. It states:

 

In Games 2-11, play ON a non-Saturday home team with less than 9 days rest off a SU win scoring 49+ points vs. an opponent not off a conference home SU & ATS win as a favorite of more than 6 points.

 

Teams in this situation are 14-0-1 ATS since at least 1980. It may be even better than that, as it’s perfect to the start of our database in 1980. These teams have continued their high-scoring ways, as the last 4 qualifying teams have scored 67, 53, 55, and 70 points!

 

West Virginia may not get up in that neighborhood, but it won’t be for lack of effort. On this national stage, this is their opportunity to show that they deserve to be mentioned in the same breath with the other Top 5 teams in the nation. The Morgantown crowds for these night games are absolutely maniacal, which will only serve to intimidate the Turtles. The Mountaineers will settle for nothing less than a dominant blowout victory to make a statement.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: WEST VIRGINIA 38 MARYLAND 14 

 

 

NFL GAMEDAY INVESTMENT e-LERT

Thursday, September 7, 2006 

 

5:30 PM PT/8:30 PM ET

 

6« SELECTION (4.5% of Bankroll)

 

PITTSBURGH PICK ‘EM over Miami

 

The Steelers and Dolphins kick off the 2006 NFL regular season on Thursday night, as Pittsburgh begins its defense of their Super Bowl championship without quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. “Big Ben” underwent an emergency appendectomy on Sunday and has been ruled out until at least Week 2. Veteran backup QB Charlie Batch will get the start instead and look to extend the Steelers' winning streak to nine games dating back to last season.

 

Miami also rides into town looking to extend a winning streak of their own, as they won their last 6 games of the 2005 season to finish with a winning record but falling short of postseason play. The Dolphins are trying to build quickly under Nick Saban and added former Vikings Pro Bowl QB, Daunte Culpepper, in March. Miami was hopeful that Culpepper would recover from the serious knee injury that sidelined him for the second half of last year. By all accounts, he is fit and ready to go, although this will obviously be his first full regular season action since his injury.

 

Culpepper looked sharp in limited preseason action for the Dolphins, which was a big improvement over his work in 2005 with the Vikings. Before suffering his injury Carolina last year, Culpepper had thrown 6 TDs versus 12 INTs, along with losing 5 fumbles in just 7 starts. His passer rating of 72 was the lowest of his career as a starter. New Dolphins offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey, formerly head coach of the Bills, will look for Culpepper to be consistent while spreading the ball to a core of pass-catchers including wide receivers Chris Chambers (82 receptions, 11 TD in '05) and Marty Booker (39 receptions, 3 TD), as well as tight end Randy McMichael (60 receptions, 5 TD). Chambers comes off the first Pro Bowl appearance of his five-year career. An offensive line that returns largely intact after allowing only 26 sacks last season will be charged with keeping the quarterback upright.

 

Culpepper will face a fierce Steeler pass rush that ranked amongst the best in the league in 2005. Led by linebackers Joey Porter and Clark Haggans, the Pittsburgh defense pounded NFL QBs for 47 sacks.

 

Miami is relying upon second-year running back Ronnie Brown and is expected to carry more of the workload in the absence of Ricky Williams and Sammy Morris. The Steelers were third in the NFL against the rush last season, and return most of the group responsible for that stifling output, so the going will be tough for Brown.

 

Charlie Batch will be making his third start in five years for Pittsburgh. Last year, he managed the offense in unspectacular fashion over the Packers and Browns. Obviously, Batch’s teammates will need to step up their games here and collectively make up for missing Roethlisberger.

 

Batch and his receivers will be seeking to find some holes within a Miami secondary that features a few new faces. Cornerbacks Will Allen and Andre' Goodman are slated to receive their first meaningful starts as Dolphins on Thursday, as is strong safety Renaldo Hill. Goodman is filling in for Travis Daniels, who has been hobbled by a sprained ankle and is doubtful for this game.

 

Willie Parker is off a 1200-yard season for the Steelers and will get plenty of carries in 2006, especially with the retirement of Jerome Bettis. Verron Haynes and/or Duce Staley will spell Parker. The Pittsburgh running game should find some holes in the Miami defense that ranked a mediocre 17th in the NFL against the run last season.

 

The atmosphere will be electric in Pittsburgh on Thursday night for this opener, as the Steeler fans welcome home their Super Bowl winners and motivate them for a strong effort here. Even before “Big Ben’s” latest mishap, many “experts” were burying the 2006 Steelers and throwing dirt on their grave. The players would argue that reports of their demise are greatly exaggerated. ''I don't really buy into that,'' receiver Hines Ward said. “That's good, though, because we don't really want anybody to give us a chance. I think we actually play better that way.''

 

Without question, they should be completely focused here and ready to take the Dolphins down a notch or 2. While few if any football pundits are picking Pittsburgh to repeat, some, such as Sports Illustrated, are picking Miami to be a Super Bowl team this year. The Dolphins are an up-and-coming team and have definitely upgraded their personnel and have a proven winner with Nick Saban; however, it’s all potential right now and it may take time for everything to gel. With SI picking them to host the Super Bowl next February and everyone else talking them up, the pressure on this team is discernible right now, especially in this game with Roethlisberger out. It was obvious by watching Zack Thomas and other Miami players recently that they are very uncomfortable being given an even chance by the oddsmakers of waltzing into Pittsburgh and beating the defending Super Bowl champions in their season opener on national TV.

 

The Steelers meanwhile, will relish this role of little or no pressure. They have not been a “pick ‘em” at home since Week 8 of the 2004 season when they blasted the undefeated, Eagles 27-3.

 

As expected, when it became known that Roethlisberger would be out for this game, the wagering public dutifully reacted, providing us with tremendous line value on the home team. “We’re just buried with Miami bets right now,” said a BetCRIS.com oddsmaker.

 

This is a classic example of why we look to play a pick ‘em or underdog when the franchise player is injured and missing his first game. The pointspread will move to account for the absence of the key player. If a team is made an underdog due to the injury, they will have several factors in their favor. Generally, there is not as big of a drop in talent from the starter to the reserve as the public perceives. The back-up will be very excited to get his chance to shine, especially if he has experienced “live bullets” before. Secondly, the rest of the team will be very focused, knowing they all have to play their best in order to make up for their fallen comrade’s absence. They may also be determined to prove that they are not a “one-man team”. Finally, their opponent will suffer an emotional letdown without the challenge of facing the superstar.

 

Steelers’ coach Bill Cowher said Charlie Batch had his best training camp since he joined Pittsburgh in 2002. The players have a tremendous amount of respect for Batch and there is no doubt they will all lift their games here to help him out. "Why should we feel sorry for ourselves?" receiver Hines Ward asked. "Charlie started two games last season and we won ‘em both. He can win a couple more."

 

A couple of PRO INFO SPORTS NFL POWER SYSTEMS also indicate where the line value is for this game. While the Dolphins would love to win this game, they know they can’t put all their eggs in this one basket and allow a loss to ruin their season. They have to be ready for a big game next week, in their home opener against a division foe. Teams have not done well in this season-opening role. In fact, Game 1, non-division road teams with a tight line of -1’/+2’ are 0-8 SU & ATS before a division home contest in their next game. In this rare situation, the teams have lost outright and against the spread by 18 points a game on average!

 

Pittsburgh qualifies for another POWER SYSTEM, which states:

 

In Game 1, play ON a Thursday/Monday Night Football home team (not a favorite of more than 2 points or underdog of 7+ points).

 

Teams in this very basic situation are 12-0 ATS since 1985, beating the spread by nearly 10 points a game on average. In a recent example, the 2002 Patriots were defending their first Super Bowl trophy but not getting a lot of respect from the wagering public. In fact, the betting masses moved the line in New England’s Monday Night home opener to the point where the Super Bowl champs were a 2’-point underdog! The Patriots were dominant in a 30-14 victory. They eventually came off their Super Bowl high and actually missed the playoffs that year, but on that night they were unbeatable.

 

We see a similar outcome here. No, the Steelers may not successfully defend their title in the end, but they will not go down without a fight, and they’ll have plenty of fight for the Dolphins.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: PITTSBURGH 20 MIAMI 14

 

 

 

NBA GAMEDAY INVESTMENT e-LERT

Saturday Apr 22, 2006

2 STAR SELECTION (2.5% of Bankroll)

 

CLEVELAND -5 over Washington

 

"King" James gets his first crack at showing what he can do in a playoff series, as LeBron's Cavaliers host the Wizards to tip off the NBA's 2006 postseason. Cleveland enters as the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference, while Washington will be giving an encore performance as the #5 seed. Last year, the Wiz dropped 2 at #4 Chicago, before recovering to win 4 straight and advance to second round, where they were burned by the Heat.

 

LeBron James is being compared to Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant and other greats of the game, and we look for him to continue his climb by making a statement in the playoffs. In Washington's Caron Butler, he has a worthy adversary, as Butler won't back down from anyone. On the other side, Gilbert Arenas is a immense talent who will be expected to produce against former teammate Larry Hughes, who probably knows his moves better than anyone. 

 

Many will examine how these teams faired against each other during the regular season and note that Washington took the last 3 games and jump on the road dogs. Looking at the regular season results for a playoff series does provide interesting analysis that can give provide insight into little details. For example, if Tim Duncan or Shaquille O'Neal average 44 ppg in four regular season contests against Seattle or New York, that could be explained by the lack of a quality defensive center, which may suggest those centers could have big games in the postseason; however, we don’t get carried away with regular season meetings. The playoffs are a "whole new ball game." Coaches often rest players at certain points during the season, such as a back-to-back spot, or sometimes players miss time with injuries, which is why we don't overemphasize the Wizards' winning three of four meetings with Cleveland in the regular season. The Cavaliers were missing Larry Hughes in two of the losses and incentive in the third. In fact, we note that Washington is 0-6 ATS when facing a team they've beaten 3 straight times, while the Cavaliers are 3-0 ATS in the reverse role.

 

The Wizards dropped both road games SU & ATS in Chicago last year and dropped the series opener at Miami SU & ATS after advancing last year, so they have a tendency to start off slow. That will be trouble against a Cleveland team that will be looking to jump out to an early lead and get the fans at Quicken Loans Arena fired up. Cleveland has won 11 straight games at home, and was 31-10 there during the regular season. In their last 12 home games as a favorite of less than 6 points/pick 'em/underdog of 2 points or less, the Cavs are a sparkling 10-2 ATS, including 7-0 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference.

 

Expect a letdown from the Wiz, as they peaked to get in the playoffs and avoid the bottom 3 seeds. Meanwhile, Cleveland coasted a bit after clinching a playoff spot and gave LeBron some rest down the stretch. He'll be fully healthy on Saturday and with Larry Hughes back in the line-up, we look for King James and the Cavaliers to score a double-digit win over the flat Wizards.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: CLEVELAND 105 WASHINGTON 93

 

ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: CLEVELAND 97 WASHINGTON 86

 

 

 

3 STAR SELECTION (3% of Bankroll)

 

SAN ANTONIO -8 over Sacramento

 

The Kings have been one of the league's hottest teams since acquiring Ron Artest, and now they'll face the ultimate test by facing the defending NBA Champions and Western Conference #1 seed Spurs. It could well be worth the price of admission  just to see Sacramento's Artest and San Antonio's Bruce Bowen go at it. They're two of the top, if not the two greatest, on-ball defenders in the league. The Kings did all they could to avoid the Spurs but finished as the #8 seed because of the Lakers' clutch play down the stretch.

 

It's usually a good idea to let sleeping giants lie, but there's little chance here of San Antonio nodding off on Sacramento. The Spurs don't seem to be getting the respect due defending champs, as many in the media are picking the Suns or Mavericks to advance to the Finals, and saying that the bottom-seeded Kings have a shot at knocking off San Antonio in the first round. True, Tim Duncan coasted through what was probably his worst season as a pro, but he will be ready when the light comes on. The Kings simply don't have a post defender who can contain him. Duncan and some of his teammates have struggled with injuries this year, but are rounding into shape nicely. Duncan and PG Parker will come in fresh and rested after sitting out the regular season finale, while Manu Ginobili returned off a shin injury to get his rhythm back. He scored 18 points and looked good in his first game back.
 
It's actually Sacramento's Ron Artest limping in with the most serious injury. Since aggravating an old injury against Phoenix on April 11, the Artest has worn a cumbersome wrap on his right thumb. After averaging 19.7 points in the seven games pre-padding, Artest has scored a combined 23 points in the three games since, hitting just 9 of 35 shots.

 

As if the Spurs needed any additional motivation with the lack of respect they are getting in the media, Ron Artest is providing additional bulletin board material. Artest seems completely unworried to see the defending NBA champions across the court, playing outstanding basketball to end the regular season, and coming off their best regular season in franchise history. In fact, Artest thinks the Spurs should be worried about the eighth-seeded Kings.” I don't even think we're the underdogs any more, "Artest said.”I think we're the team to beat, just by how we've been playing." He has even gone as far as to predict a series upset. "They're number 1 now, but I think we'll leave number 1."

 

After dropping the first games on the regular season series with San Antonio, Sacramento did manage to handle the Spurs on the road with Artest in the lineup recently; however, that will only ensure that the Spurs are fully focused on Saturday. In fact, NBA playoff road dogs with a total of 164+ points are 0-6 ATS vs. an opponent playing with regular season revenge for a single loss after winning the previous 2 matchups before that.

 

Rest figures to be a factor in this game, and Kings' coach Rick Adelman groused about the potential difficulty in his squad playing its first-round playoff opener Saturday instead of Sunday. By Wednesday afternoon, the official word came that the Kings will indeed start Saturday, when they visit San Antonio. "We know both of these teams (the Spurs and Phoenix, which was a possibility for the first round) pretty well, so it's not going to be like you need three or four days, because the league's not going to give you that anyway," Adelman said. Playing Saturday? That "would be a nightmare," said Adelman. "Whoever they put on Saturday, it's uh ... well, I don't want to get David Stern mad, but it's ridiculous. I mean, I know it's TV and everything, but you play Wednesday night, and suddenly you have to start Saturday afternoon. It makes no sense, but that's the way it is sometimes."

 

Meanwhile, the fresh and rested Spurs are quietly lying in wait with some big numbers in their favor. At home with 2 days rest, San Antonio is an amazing 17-3-2 ATS since start of 2003-2004 season, and that's just the regular season. They have certainly carried that trend over to the playoffs, where they are 4-0 SU & ATS in their last 4 postseason home favorite contests on 2 days rest, crushing the spread by more than 12 points a game on average. In the same situation with 2 or more days rest, the Spurs are a perfect 8-0 ATS in recent seasons. Finally, we note that NBA Playoff #1 seeds are 8-0 ATS in series openers as a favorite of 6+ points.

 

Look for the Spurs to come out strong and make a statement with a solid SU & ATS victory.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 101 SACRAMENTO 87

 

ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: SAN ANTONIO 122 SACRAMENTO 88

 

 

 

1 STAR SELECTION (2% of Bankroll)

 

Chicago +8' over MIAMI

 

Saturday's 3rd NBA Playoff game will be between the hometown Heat and the rampaging Bulls. Miami was two minutes from advancing to the Finals a year ago and has run hot and cold this season. This has become Dwayne Wade's team, but Shaquille O'Neal remains an enormous factor. Antoine Walker, Jason Williams, Gary Payton and James Posey appear to have accepted being role players - so far. The Heat's hopes may rest on whether backup center Alonzo Mourning can return from calf injury. Miami has trouble defending athletic teams such as Chicago, and Mourning will not be in the lineup on Saturday.

 

The Bulls' good shooting and rugged defense make them a dangerous first-round draw. Ben Gordon has been dazzling lately, while  backcourt mate Kirk Hinrich can fill it up and defend. Andres Nocioni and Luol Deng are active scorers and rebounders.

 

Better or worse than last year's squad, bored or occasionally overmatched, this much is clear: Miami's starting five and top eight players have barely been on the floor together in recent weeks. Williams and Posey missed a combined 15 games over the last three weeks of the season. The late-season slide and lack of continuity in the lineup leave the Heat looking ripe for a possible first- or second-round ouster. Even healthy, the Heat has struggled against the league's better teams. Miami posted a 1-9 record this year against Detroit, San Antonio, Phoenix and Dallas.

 

Against Chicago, it's not easy to predict what the Heat might produce. Even at this late stage of the proceedings, they have the look of a jigsaw puzzle only partially assembled. With too many other pieces scattered in no discernible arrangement whatsoever, who knows what's there and what's missing? Who knows what's going to fit and what isn't? It's with such unpredictable teams that backing them as underdogs and fading them as favorites is usually a profitable investment.

 

The truth of the matter is Miami has been on autopilot for much of the season, because it long ago recognized it had no chance to catch Detroit for the Eastern Conference's top-seeded position while also recognizing its own second-seeded placement as secure. Their 52-30 mark isn't nearly as good as it looks. They were horrid against the better teams in the league and built its season by doing little more than pounding the league's dregs.

 

Adding to the team's distractions at the end of the season was coach Pat Riley tending to his ill mother in New York. She passed away early Friday but Riley will be with the team on Saturday. Still, it's hard to believe that Riley's and team's thoughts will be 100% on basketball, which is quite understandable.

 

The Heat won the season series 2-1 with the Bulls, but Chicago has some confidence. They won in Miami near the end of the season, and lost 2 games in Chicago by one and three points. "Our guys have been able to hang with them," Bulls coach Scott Skiles said. Chicago led the NBA in field-goal percentage defense this season, letting opponents connect on only 42.6 percent of their shot attempts. Expect the defense to be as rugged as ever for the playoffs. They certainly did a job on D-Wade, who struggled this season more against Chicago than any other team, averaging only 12.3 points on 24.3 percent shooting! The Bulls have come at him in waves, with Hinrich, Duhon and Gordon all taking turns guarding Wade at times - and with others waiting in the lane to disrupt his rim-attacking as well.

 

While Miami has been on cruise control for weeks, Chicago has been playing playoff-type games for two weeks. In looking at some numbers, we note that they are 26-11 ATS off a SU win of 10+ points over the past 3 seasons, 7-3 ATS off 3+ SU wins, and an impressive 6-0 SU & ATS in their last half dozen road games. Meanwhile, the Heat was a dreadful 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games and a poor 6-12 ATS at home against .500%+ opponents.

 

Miami isn't likely to suddenly come out smoking and blow the Bulls away. We expect this scrappy Chicago team to keep the game close. The Heat will probably find a way late to pull out the SU victory, but the Bulls should take it down to the wire and at least cover this large number.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: MIAMI 101 CHICAGO 99

 

ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: MIAMI 111 CHICAGO 106

 

 

 

Opinion Selection (1% of Bankroll)

 

Denver +5 over LA CLIPPERS

 

In one of the stranger first-round series in recent NBA Playoffs memory, a #3 seed, which actually tied for the 8th-best conference record will be on the road against a #6 seed that had the 5th-best mark on the West. Not far removed from one of the stranger games in NBA history, the Clippers look to continue their surprising season-long success when they host the Nuggets. Due to the unusual circumstance of a division winner - which automatically gets a top-three seed - having a record no better than any other qualifying playoff team, the Clippers were put in a situation against Memphis last Tuesday where a loss would allow them to open the series at the Staples Center, but a win would force them to open against a much stronger Dallas team on the road. To nobody's surprise, LA lost, and speculation was that they lost intentionally in order to get home court and Denver for the first round of the playoffs.

 

The Clippers are in the postseason for the first time since 1997 and had its most wins since 1975, when the franchise was still based in Buffalo. The Nuggets are making their third straight trip to the playoffs after winning their first division title since 1988, but they haven't advanced to the second round since 1994. Third-year forward Carmelo Anthony has been special, carrying the Nuggets to their division title. While Denver finished with 4 losses after clinching the crown, they shouldn't be counted out. They do have the personnel, if healthy, to make a run all the way to the Western Conference finals. They fortified their roster with the likes of Ruben Patterson and Reggie Evans before the trade deadline and they already had playoff-tested players at every position. All their starters have been to the postseason at least twice. Forward Kenyon Martin having been to NBA Finals with the New Jersey Nets in 2002 and 2003 and center Marcus Camby made a stop there with the New York Knicks in 1999.

 

The Clippers have Sam Cassell, who won championships with the Houston Rockets in 1994 and 1995 and has been in 103 playoff games. And they have guard Cuttino Mobley, who has been in 14 playoff games, and forward Vladimir Radmanovic, who has been in 11. After that, it's pretty much a bare Clippers cupboard. Team stalwarts Elton Brand, Corey Maggette and Chris Kaman and top reserve Shaun Livingston never have gotten a sniff of the playoffs. They also finished weakly, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and are a poor 1-8-1 ATS at home vs. opponents on a losing streak.

 

The games in this series should be competitive, and we look for this one to go down to the wire. Denver shocked #1 seed San Antonio last year in Game 1 of the first round and they'll certainly have the confidence to pull off a mild surprise here. The Clippers will likely have some playoff jitters, which is not ideal for a favorite to cover a pointspread. We'll take the underdog with a huge edge in playoff experience to keep this one at least close enough to record a spread victory.

 

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: LA CLIPPERS 97 DENVER 96

ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: LA CLIPPERS 89 DENVER 87

 

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